Why a $0.18 Price on a Polymarket Market Is More Than a Number
Polymarket prices look simple: a Yes share at $0.18 equals an 18% probability. That surface fact is useful but misleading if you stop there. The platform’s market price is simultaneously a probability, a liquidity signal, an incentive mechanism, and a noisy aggregator of politics, news, and trader psychology. Read one way it’s a compact forecast; … Read more